Nostradamus

Nostradamus turns an indexed archive of video footage into a live prediction market. Each round plays one 5-second video segment and asks a single question about the next five seconds, rotating between pedestrians, vehicles, and intersections. A Weights & Biases model reads only the current clip's caption and quotes an opening price in cents, with its reasoning shown. You buy Yes or No at that price, choosing how many contracts, then settle: the following indexed segment plays, W&B judges it from that caption alone, and your buying power moves by M$1 per contract. The same question is listed as a real play-money binary on Manifold, opened at the model's price, bet on your behalf, and resolved from the clip.